Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.368971 0.429175 0.495690 0.574574 0.665525 0.767049 0.888929
2025-03-30 0.260577 0.338764 0.434651 0.560643 0.721590 0.920064 1.183179
2025-04-06 0.199704 0.281389 0.389389 0.542116 0.751992 1.029702 1.424486
2025-04-13 0.159802 0.240604 0.354239 0.524887 0.773748 1.122384 1.646723
2025-04-20 0.136974 0.218399 0.339171 0.530146 0.823175 1.254151 1.934110
2025-04-27 0.124773 0.209316 0.340756 0.558280 0.907293 1.442943 2.324131
2025-05-04 0.112427 0.197662 0.336046 0.574841 0.973977 1.610835 2.699170
2025-05-11 0.100225 0.184131 0.325998 0.580548 1.022527 1.753654 3.047923
2025-05-18 0.088633 0.169760 0.312288 0.577615 1.055094 1.872132 3.367010
2025-05-25 0.078137 0.155726 0.297106 0.569664 1.077086 1.973588 3.665743
2025-06-01 0.069731 0.144329 0.285053 0.565490 1.104596 2.086254 3.994263
2025-06-08 0.060735 0.130450 0.266492 0.546509 1.101868 2.143178 4.225453
2025-06-15 0.058837 0.130835 0.275859 0.583516 1.211703 2.422092 4.907168
2025-06-22 0.051685 0.119229 0.259912 0.568013 1.216644 2.502666 5.217015
2025-06-29 0.045216 0.108111 0.243455 0.549181 1.212197 2.563626 5.493254
2025-07-06 0.039735 0.098372 0.228605 0.531731 1.208219 2.624374 5.774238
2025-07-13 0.036670 0.093779 0.224411 0.537057 1.253589 2.791082 6.293092
2025-07-20 0.035522 0.093619 0.230182 0.565545 1.353219 3.082231 7.107464
2025-07-27 0.033659 0.091413 0.230899 0.582313 1.428008 3.326635 7.843279
2025-08-03 0.031296 0.087575 0.227221 0.588092 1.477753 3.520111 8.483620
2025-08-10 0.028687 0.082695 0.220344 0.585122 1.506121 3.667456 9.031930
2025-08-17 0.026087 0.077449 0.211869 0.577072 1.521101 3.785028 9.521821
2025-08-24 0.023933 0.073121 0.205210 0.572845 1.545066 3.925967 10.081110